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Red357
5498119.5
4568110.1
2832143.7
Blue218
6150111.9
5050166.8
6101127.1
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions228348100200300400500357218

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2832
#19
143.70.3
138.4138.1
Auto20.3
Teleop105.3
End18.9
blue by 23.1
166.83.2
157.5160.7
Auto21.4
Teleop121.2
End24.3
Second
5498
#20
119.50.3
115.4115.1
Auto17.9
Teleop89.0
End14.6
blue by 7.6
6101
#32
127.11.1
131.2130.1
Auto18.1
Teleop94.0
End12.2
Third
4568
#17
110.13.0
110.0107.0
Auto16.0
Teleop83.1
End13.0
blue by 1.8
6150
#12
111.91.0
109.1110.1
Auto17.2
Teleop80.1
End17.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
61%Auto Quest oddsEarned53%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed11%Face the Boss oddsMissed