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Red469
6618166.5
6081126.5
3656179.7
Blue248
5853123.4
5448115.5
3542147.5
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions384297100200500469248

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
179.71.9
167.8169.7
Auto23.2
Teleop122.3
End35.2
red by 32.2
3542
#11
147.51.2
151.2150.0
Auto21.8
Teleop113.3
End10.6
Second
6618
#26
166.50.8
165.7164.9
Auto17.0
Teleop123.4
End23.7
red by 43.2
5853
#30
123.42.8
118.2120.9
Auto15.8
Teleop94.7
End14.2
Third
126.52.0
118.4120.4
Auto17.0
Teleop90.6
End20.5
red by 11.0
5448
#34
115.52.8
109.4112.2
Auto16.7
Teleop84.7
End17.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
42%Auto Quest oddsEarned46%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
15%Face the Boss oddsEarned4%Face the Boss oddsMissed