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Red163
5567162.9
5066114.3
5216147.2
Blue410
910155.9
6150111.9
4395130.2
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions350289150200250400450500163410

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5567
#18
162.91.2
162.7163.9
Auto20.0
Teleop118.6
End25.5
red by 7.0
910
#14
155.90.1
154.6154.5
Auto22.8
Teleop118.0
End13.1
Second
147.22.0
146.1148.1
Auto17.5
Teleop105.0
End24.6
red by 17.1
4395
#28
130.21.8
124.6126.4
Auto13.4
Teleop104.0
End14.5
Third
5066
#21
114.31.0
114.3115.3
Auto16.9
Teleop88.0
End11.4
red by 2.3
6150
#12
111.90.2
110.1110.3
Auto17.2
Teleop80.1
End17.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
83%Auto Quest oddsMissed32%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed