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Red249
5530144.2
5498119.5
6029105.9
Blue463
1023185.4
3542147.5
3656179.7
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2204490100300400500600700249463

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5530
#15
144.21.3
141.6142.9
Auto21.1
Teleop108.6
End15.1
blue by 41.2
185.40.7
181.8182.4
Auto22.1
Teleop133.6
End30.0
Second
5498
#20
119.51.8
115.1116.9
Auto17.9
Teleop89.0
End14.6
blue by 60.2
179.72.8
169.7172.5
Auto23.2
Teleop122.3
End35.2
Third
6029
#35
105.91.6
108.4106.9
Auto16.7
Teleop78.2
End11.2
blue by 41.6
3542
#11
147.51.4
150.0148.6
Auto21.8
Teleop113.3
End10.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
72%Auto Quest oddsEarned92%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed16%Face the Boss oddsEarned