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Red86
3414139.3
1250147.3
4851117.8
Blue418
2832162.6
314157.5
5774138.7
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions30937610020040050060086418

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
147.30.3
147.0147.3
Auto21.5
Teleop111.1
End17.0
blue by 15.3
2832
#11
162.60.3
161.6161.9
Auto20.9
Teleop117.4
End26.0
Second
3414
#10
139.30.9
138.4139.3
Auto19.1
Teleop106.6
End16.0
blue by 18.2
314
#7
157.50.3
158.1157.8
Auto21.1
Teleop116.6
End16.4
Third
4851
#18
117.80.3
117.5117.8
Auto15.6
Teleop88.7
End14.1
blue by 20.9
5774
#16
138.70.4
137.6138.0
Auto21.0
Teleop99.7
End18.4