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Red277
5050182.6
3542163.9
7175107.4
Blue323
3641190.1
503175.6
695488.4
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions355332200250300400450500550600277323

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
182.60.3
182.3182.6
Auto23.9
Teleop132.1
End26.9
blue by 7.5
190.10.3
189.5189.7
Auto24.2
Teleop146.3
End21.6
Second
163.90.8
163.1163.9
Auto24.0
Teleop122.2
End21.4
blue by 11.7
503
#4
175.60.0
175.8175.8
Auto27.0
Teleop121.9
End26.9
Third
7175
#21
107.40.5
106.9107.4
Auto18.7
Teleop79.9
End10.8
red by 19.0
6954
#39
88.40.4
87.587.9
Auto15.5
Teleop64.0
End10.8