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Red444
5050182.6
3542163.9
7175107.4
Blue173
6190121.3
6742128.6
3096123.7
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions393245100200300500600700800444173

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
182.60.1
181.7181.8
Auto23.9
Teleop132.1
End26.9
red by 54.0
6742
#12
128.60.5
127.7128.2
Auto17.5
Teleop92.3
End21.9
Second
163.90.8
160.6161.4
Auto24.0
Teleop122.2
End21.4
red by 40.2
3096
#28
123.70.0
123.9123.8
Auto14.1
Teleop95.9
End13.7
Third
7175
#21
107.40.4
105.5105.9
Auto18.7
Teleop79.9
End10.8
blue by 13.9
6190
#14
121.30.1
121.4121.4
Auto18.0
Teleop83.8
End17.7