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Red483
3542163.9
3641190.1
2832162.6
Blue206
7175107.4
5695127.5
503175.6
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4052470100200300500600483206

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
190.10.1
184.4184.5
Auto24.2
Teleop146.3
End21.6
red by 14.5
503
#4
175.60.7
169.9170.6
Auto27.0
Teleop121.9
End26.9
Second
163.90.2
146.9147.1
Auto24.0
Teleop122.2
End21.4
red by 36.4
5695
#24
127.510.5
96.7107.2
Auto18.0
Teleop94.2
End14.2
Third
2832
#11
162.61.4
144.8146.2
Auto20.9
Teleop117.4
End26.0
red by 55.2
7175
#21
107.40.1
95.094.9
Auto18.7
Teleop79.9
End10.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
88%Auto Quest oddsEarned65%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsEarned