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Red174
1528110.6
6914107.9
5531164.3
Blue225
6089118.6
6190121.3
3398101.4
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3262440100200400500600174225

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5531
#23
164.31.1
163.0164.1
Auto16.2
Teleop126.1
End19.5
red by 43.1
6190
#14
121.30.8
122.3121.5
Auto18.0
Teleop83.8
End17.7
Second
1528
#35
110.60.9
118.1117.2
Auto16.9
Teleop82.8
End7.8
blue by 7.9
6089
#31
118.611.7
88.5100.2
Auto15.9
Teleop89.0
End11.1
Third
6914
#40
107.90.1
111.0111.1
Auto15.1
Teleop79.9
End13.7
red by 6.6
3398
#30
101.41.9
94.496.4
Auto15.3
Teleop73.9
End17.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
28%Auto Quest oddsMissed27%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed9%Face the Boss oddsMissed