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Red100
7174141.1
686288.0
7191113.9
Blue226
3096123.7
6116106.2
361797.1
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions260249100200300400500100226

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7174
#22
141.11.5
129.7131.2
Auto16.5
Teleop108.0
End18.4
red by 17.4
3096
#28
123.70.1
119.6119.7
Auto14.1
Teleop95.9
End13.7
Second
7191
#26
113.90.8
106.4107.2
Auto17.2
Teleop80.9
End18.0
red by 7.6
6116
#32
106.20.8
102.0101.2
Auto14.5
Teleop77.4
End16.4
Third
6862
#37
88.00.2
84.885.0
Auto14.9
Teleop66.3
End7.1
blue by 9.1
3617
#33
97.10.0
92.992.9
Auto10.9
Teleop78.8
End7.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
20%Auto Quest oddsMissed5%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed