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Red259
548146.2
6152103.1
3414139.3
Blue390
695488.4
302209.7
5774138.7
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2603520100200300400500600700259390

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
548
#13
146.20.4
143.9144.3
Auto19.8
Teleop104.6
End24.5
blue by 63.4
302
#2
209.71.9
186.1188.1
Auto21.8
Teleop158.8
End31.3
Second
3414
#10
139.30.4
125.0125.4
Auto19.1
Teleop106.6
End16.0
red by 0.5
5774
#16
138.71.4
121.2122.6
Auto21.0
Teleop99.7
End18.4
Third
6152
#34
103.10.5
103.1102.6
Auto15.6
Teleop77.0
End7.9
red by 14.7
6954
#39
88.40.2
76.576.7
Auto15.5
Teleop64.0
End10.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
23%Auto Quest oddsEarned35%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed