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Red75
6742128.6
3398101.4
7143110.5
Blue426
3542163.9
6861155.7
6116106.2
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions25233710020030040050060075426

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6742
#12
128.61.0
121.2122.2
Auto17.5
Teleop92.3
End21.9
blue by 35.3
163.90.5
148.1148.6
Auto24.0
Teleop122.2
End21.4
Second
7143
#20
110.50.1
111.7111.6
Auto16.8
Teleop81.7
End11.8
blue by 45.2
155.72.1
138.2140.3
Auto23.7
Teleop114.8
End17.6
Third
3398
#30
101.40.6
99.6100.2
Auto15.3
Teleop73.9
End17.9
blue by 4.9
6116
#32
106.20.3
100.6100.9
Auto14.5
Teleop77.4
End16.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
31%Auto Quest oddsMissed72%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed