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Red290
548146.2
686288.0
5695127.5
Blue218
6914107.9
7191113.9
3414139.3
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2972820100200400500600700290218

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
548
#13
146.20.1
144.5144.4
Auto19.8
Teleop104.6
End24.5
red by 7.0
3414
#10
139.30.6
126.5127.1
Auto19.1
Teleop106.6
End16.0
Second
5695
#24
127.52.5
119.1121.5
Auto18.0
Teleop94.2
End14.2
red by 13.7
7191
#26
113.91.0
109.6110.6
Auto17.2
Teleop80.9
End18.0
Third
6862
#37
88.00.2
83.683.7
Auto14.9
Teleop66.3
End7.1
blue by 19.9
6914
#40
107.90.4
109.5109.1
Auto15.1
Teleop79.9
End13.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
18%Auto Quest oddsEarned55%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed