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Red395
6116106.2
2612139.9
7174141.1
Blue218
5774138.7
1528110.6
6152103.1
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions339270100200300400500395218

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7174
#22
141.10.7
135.1135.7
Auto16.5
Teleop108.0
End18.4
red by 2.4
5774
#16
138.71.1
126.7127.8
Auto21.0
Teleop99.7
End18.4
Second
2612
#15
139.90.7
133.1133.8
Auto17.6
Teleop101.4
End22.9
red by 29.2
1528
#35
110.60.5
113.6113.1
Auto16.9
Teleop82.8
End7.8
Third
6116
#32
106.21.1
100.9101.9
Auto14.5
Teleop77.4
End16.4
red by 3.1
6152
#34
103.10.4
102.0102.4
Auto15.6
Teleop77.0
End7.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
35%Auto Quest oddsEarned15%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed