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Red291
3398101.4
2832162.6
4768127.2
Blue296
27187.7
663389.1
3641190.1
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions254406100200300500600700291296

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2832
#11
162.61.2
151.7152.9
Auto20.9
Teleop117.4
End26.0
blue by 27.5
190.10.5
188.3188.8
Auto24.2
Teleop146.3
End21.6
Second
4768
#17
127.20.1
124.0124.2
Auto18.1
Teleop88.8
End20.2
blue by 60.5
27
#1
187.72.5
179.2181.8
Auto25.7
Teleop130.3
End33.4
Third
3398
#30
101.40.3
100.2100.0
Auto15.3
Teleop73.9
End17.9
red by 12.3
6633
#38
89.10.0
89.789.8
Auto14.0
Teleop64.9
End8.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
47%Auto Quest oddsEarned78%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed16%Face the Boss oddsMissed