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Red141
6152103.1
3619121.1
7143110.5
Blue411
553296.5
5774138.7
3414139.3
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2683050100200400500600141411

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3619
#27
121.12.7
120.2123.0
Auto17.5
Teleop88.5
End13.6
blue by 18.2
3414
#10
139.30.3
127.1127.5
Auto19.1
Teleop106.6
End16.0
Second
7143
#20
110.50.1
110.7110.6
Auto16.8
Teleop81.7
End11.8
blue by 28.3
5774
#16
138.71.1
127.8128.9
Auto21.0
Teleop99.7
End18.4
Third
6152
#34
103.10.5
102.4102.9
Auto15.6
Teleop77.0
End7.9
red by 6.7
5532
#29
96.51.0
89.490.4
Auto13.6
Teleop73.8
End10.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
15%Auto Quest oddsEarned42%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed