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Red410
6742128.6
4768127.2
302209.7
Blue306
4851117.8
503175.6
2612139.9
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions380324100200500600700800410306

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
302
#2
209.71.8
198.9200.7
Auto21.8
Teleop158.8
End31.3
red by 34.1
503
#4
175.61.3
174.1175.4
Auto27.0
Teleop121.9
End26.9
Second
6742
#12
128.60.4
122.1122.5
Auto17.5
Teleop92.3
End21.9
blue by 11.3
2612
#15
139.91.4
133.8135.2
Auto17.6
Teleop101.4
End22.9
Third
4768
#17
127.20.5
124.2124.7
Auto18.1
Teleop88.8
End20.2
red by 9.4
4851
#18
117.80.9
114.2115.0
Auto15.6
Teleop88.7
End14.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
56%Auto Quest oddsEarned85%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsEarned6%Face the Boss oddsMissed