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Red378
314157.5
1528110.6
3414139.3
Blue194
1250147.3
7175107.4
6190121.3
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions325312100200400500600378194

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
314
#7
157.50.6
154.5155.1
Auto21.1
Teleop116.6
End16.4
red by 10.1
147.31.6
143.7145.3
Auto21.5
Teleop111.1
End17.0
Second
3414
#10
139.31.9
128.8130.7
Auto19.1
Teleop106.6
End16.0
red by 18.0
6190
#14
121.30.2
122.3122.5
Auto18.0
Teleop83.8
End17.7
Third
1528
#35
110.60.7
112.4111.7
Auto16.9
Teleop82.8
End7.8
red by 3.3
7175
#21
107.41.2
102.1103.4
Auto18.7
Teleop79.9
End10.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
79%Auto Quest oddsEarned83%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed7%Face the Boss oddsMissed