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Red443
2612139.9
3542163.9
695488.4
Blue173
7174141.1
5531164.3
4854112.9
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2773720100200500600700443173

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
163.91.5
152.7154.2
Auto24.0
Teleop122.2
End21.4
blue by 0.4
5531
#23
164.31.1
165.6166.7
Auto16.2
Teleop126.1
End19.5
Second
2612
#15
139.90.6
136.4137.0
Auto17.6
Teleop101.4
End22.9
blue by 1.2
7174
#22
141.11.2
138.3139.4
Auto16.5
Teleop108.0
End18.4
Third
6954
#39
88.41.1
80.781.7
Auto15.5
Teleop64.0
End10.8
blue by 24.5
4854
#19
112.92.4
108.6111.0
Auto17.1
Teleop87.8
End7.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
59%Auto Quest oddsEarned49%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed