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Red267
2586146.5
1596160.0
5714125.6
Blue429
4392170.9
5084152.5
5878106.4
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions320353100200400500600700267429

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
160.00.7
158.6159.3
Auto19.7
Teleop121.9
End18.7
blue by 10.9
170.90.5
169.9170.3
Auto15.8
Teleop134.7
End21.4
Second
2586
#15
146.50.1
146.3146.4
Auto16.3
Teleop109.0
End18.0
blue by 6.0
152.50.4
151.6152.0
Auto19.5
Teleop112.5
End21.0
Third
5714
#34
125.60.3
125.2125.4
Auto14.3
Teleop90.8
End20.0
red by 19.2
5878
#35
106.40.5
105.5105.9
Auto18.0
Teleop74.1
End17.7