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Red328
5314151.6
6573138.6
6558129.9
Blue168
857139.6
3602142.1
6033127.9
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions307334200400500600328168

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
151.60.4
150.1150.5
Auto21.0
Teleop118.0
End12.5
red by 9.5
142.10.5
141.6142.1
Auto19.2
Teleop106.6
End19.0
Second
138.60.2
137.7137.9
Auto18.1
Teleop106.4
End14.1
blue by 1.0
857
#14
139.60.0
139.7139.6
Auto15.7
Teleop99.1
End22.9
Third
6558
#21
129.90.1
130.2130.1
Auto18.6
Teleop90.2
End20.7
red by 2.0
6033
#16
127.90.4
127.5127.9
Auto15.0
Teleop101.4
End12.6