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Red432
4391186.7
141172.9
4988119.1
Blue282
5702133.2
5213122.4
4835131.0
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4052400100200300500600432282

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
186.70.5
184.3184.8
Auto29.2
Teleop137.9
End19.7
red by 53.5
5702
#13
133.20.8
131.8132.5
Auto19.2
Teleop99.0
End19.2
Second
141
#1
172.90.6
169.9170.5
Auto25.0
Teleop132.0
End17.9
red by 41.9
4835
#19
131.00.0
131.0131.0
Auto18.0
Teleop91.2
End20.4
Third
4988
#32
119.10.3
120.3119.9
Auto16.9
Teleop90.8
End10.9
blue by 3.2
5213
#11
122.40.3
121.8122.1
Auto14.9
Teleop90.3
End18.7