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Red459
5989104.3
4391186.7
525197.8
Blue199
5175129.8
6558129.9
6573138.6
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions313316200250300350400450459199

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
186.70.0
184.3184.3
Auto29.2
Teleop137.9
End19.7
red by 48.1
138.61.6
135.9137.5
Auto18.1
Teleop106.4
End14.1
Second
5989
#33
104.30.3
103.6103.3
Auto15.7
Teleop79.1
End12.0
blue by 25.6
6558
#21
129.90.4
129.8130.2
Auto18.6
Teleop90.2
End20.7
Third
5251
#31
97.81.8
96.097.8
Auto13.1
Teleop75.5
End18.4
blue by 32.0
5175
#20
129.80.9
128.9129.8
Auto19.2
Teleop89.5
End20.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
32%Auto Quest oddsEarned62%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsEarned3%Face the Boss oddsMissed