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Red233
4375151.5
4970177.2
5247122.1
Blue417
2586146.5
1596160.0
5714125.6
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3653180100200500600700800233417

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
177.20.2
177.0177.2
Auto25.9
Teleop128.4
End25.4
red by 17.2
160.00.7
155.6156.3
Auto19.7
Teleop121.9
End18.7
Second
4375
#12
151.50.0
151.5151.5
Auto16.0
Teleop110.3
End25.2
red by 5.0
2586
#15
146.50.1
146.3146.2
Auto16.3
Teleop109.0
End18.0
Third
5247
#24
122.10.0
122.1122.1
Auto14.0
Teleop95.1
End12.6
blue by 3.5
5714
#34
125.60.2
124.3124.5
Auto14.3
Teleop90.8
End20.0