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Red407
4392170.9
5084152.5
5878106.4
Blue268
5314151.6
6573138.6
6558129.9
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions353301100200400500600700407268

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
170.90.4
169.1169.4
Auto15.8
Teleop134.7
End21.4
red by 19.3
151.60.4
150.9151.2
Auto21.0
Teleop118.0
End12.5
Second
152.50.3
150.9151.2
Auto19.5
Teleop112.5
End21.0
red by 13.9
138.60.2
138.2138.4
Auto18.1
Teleop106.4
End14.1
Third
5878
#35
106.40.4
104.6105.0
Auto18.0
Teleop74.1
End17.7
blue by 23.5
6558
#21
129.90.0
130.0130.0
Auto18.6
Teleop90.2
End20.7