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Red410
4392170.9
5084152.5
5878106.4
Blue273
5314151.6
6573138.6
6558129.9
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions358298100200400500600700410273

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
170.90.4
169.4169.9
Auto15.8
Teleop134.7
End21.4
red by 19.3
151.60.3
151.2151.6
Auto21.0
Teleop118.0
End12.5
Second
152.50.4
151.2151.6
Auto19.5
Teleop112.5
End21.0
red by 13.9
138.60.2
138.4138.6
Auto18.1
Teleop106.4
End14.1
Third
5878
#35
106.40.4
105.0105.5
Auto18.0
Teleop74.1
End17.7
blue by 23.5
6558
#21
129.90.0
130.0129.9
Auto18.6
Teleop90.2
End20.7