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Red408
1596160.0
4375151.5
482787.6
Blue197
6033127.9
5486123.7
5706101.3
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3002670100200400500408197

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
160.01.4
140.8142.2
Auto19.7
Teleop121.9
End18.7
red by 32.1
6033
#16
127.90.9
126.4127.3
Auto15.0
Teleop101.4
End12.6
Second
4375
#12
151.51.1
136.2137.3
Auto16.0
Teleop110.3
End25.2
red by 27.8
5486
#28
123.71.4
116.8118.3
Auto20.0
Teleop90.7
End9.9
Third
4827
#17
87.60.4
82.482.8
Auto15.0
Teleop73.9
End3.8
blue by 13.7
5706
#26
101.30.3
97.296.9
Auto14.3
Teleop78.6
End13.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
30%Auto Quest oddsEarned23%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed