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Red381
5247122.1
4392170.9
141172.9
Blue166
5562101.6
525197.8
5175129.8
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4171520100200300500600381166

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
141
#1
172.91.7
157.1158.9
Auto25.0
Teleop132.0
End17.9
red by 43.0
5175
#20
129.80.3
125.8125.6
Auto19.2
Teleop89.5
End20.0
Second
170.90.7
160.7161.4
Auto15.8
Teleop134.7
End21.4
red by 69.3
5562
#30
101.60.8
100.1100.8
Auto13.5
Teleop77.8
End7.8
Third
5247
#24
122.11.0
124.2125.2
Auto14.0
Teleop95.1
End12.6
red by 24.3
5251
#31
97.80.0
87.287.2
Auto13.1
Teleop75.5
End18.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
14%Auto Quest oddsEarned6%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed