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Red147
6113133.8
6079102.3
5562101.6
Blue349
5084152.5
5702133.2
659999.3
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions261255150200300350400147349

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6113
#22
133.81.8
130.8132.6
Auto17.8
Teleop100.2
End17.5
blue by 18.7
152.51.6
133.3134.8
Auto19.5
Teleop112.5
End21.0
Second
6079
#29
102.30.0
103.1103.0
Auto15.6
Teleop77.8
End6.6
blue by 30.9
5702
#13
133.20.5
120.3120.8
Auto19.2
Teleop99.0
End19.2
Third
5562
#30
101.61.0
100.8101.8
Auto13.5
Teleop77.8
End7.8
red by 2.3
6599
#25
99.30.4
90.990.5
Auto16.3
Teleop77.7
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
12%Auto Quest oddsMissed39%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed