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Red264
32289.6
4377144.8
4715115.0
Blue427
6573138.6
4392170.9
5706101.3
13%Model gave it87%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions235354100200300400500600264427

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4377
#10
144.80.8
136.1136.9
Auto16.7
Teleop101.7
End25.9
blue by 26.1
170.90.8
161.4162.1
Auto15.8
Teleop134.7
End21.4
Second
4715
#39
115.00.3
112.7112.4
Auto15.4
Teleop88.2
End10.8
blue by 23.6
138.60.5
128.4128.9
Auto18.1
Teleop106.4
End14.1
Third
322
#36
89.60.3
91.891.5
Auto12.1
Teleop66.8
End9.7
blue by 11.7
5706
#26
101.30.5
96.996.5
Auto14.3
Teleop78.6
End13.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
14%Auto Quest oddsMissed11%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed