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Red221
4392170.9
4835131.0
5213122.4
Blue204
6569122.9
5714125.6
6345101.3
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3812100100300500600700221204

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
170.91.0
159.0160.0
Auto15.8
Teleop134.7
End21.4
red by 45.2
5714
#34
125.60.7
115.6116.3
Auto14.3
Teleop90.8
End20.0
Second
4835
#19
131.00.9
123.3124.2
Auto18.0
Teleop91.2
End20.4
red by 8.2
6569
#18
122.90.7
111.7111.0
Auto16.1
Teleop92.2
End17.4
Third
5213
#11
122.40.8
111.2112.0
Auto14.9
Teleop90.3
End18.7
red by 21.0
6345
#40
101.30.8
103.2102.4
Auto15.5
Teleop71.4
End15.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
11%Auto Quest oddsMissed11%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed