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Red202
5709101.5
6573138.6
5072143.5
Blue339
6581120.4
141172.9
6113133.8
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2383470100200300400500600202339

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5072
#27
143.50.4
137.8138.3
Auto16.0
Teleop107.4
End16.1
blue by 29.4
141
#1
172.90.6
154.7155.3
Auto25.0
Teleop132.0
End17.9
Second
138.61.0
129.4128.4
Auto18.1
Teleop106.4
End14.1
red by 4.8
6113
#22
133.81.2
125.9127.0
Auto17.8
Teleop100.2
End17.5
Third
5709
#37
101.51.9
110.9109.0
Auto14.9
Teleop74.6
End13.3
blue by 18.9
6581
#23
120.42.0
112.2114.1
Auto16.7
Teleop87.2
End17.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
13%Auto Quest oddsMissed33%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed