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Red357
5175129.8
6079102.3
4375151.5
Blue121
32289.6
4988119.1
4392170.9
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2773160200400600800357121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4375
#12
151.51.9
144.4146.3
Auto16.0
Teleop110.3
End25.2
blue by 19.4
170.91.6
164.4166.0
Auto15.8
Teleop134.7
End21.4
Second
5175
#20
129.80.4
126.0126.4
Auto19.2
Teleop89.5
End20.0
red by 10.7
4988
#32
119.10.0
125.1125.1
Auto16.9
Teleop90.8
End10.9
Third
6079
#29
102.30.5
101.8101.3
Auto15.6
Teleop77.8
End6.6
red by 12.8
322
#36
89.60.1
92.192.0
Auto12.1
Teleop66.8
End9.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
30%Auto Quest oddsMissed9%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed