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Red369
5213122.4
6581120.4
4970177.2
Blue265
5709101.5
6113133.8
5486123.7
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3412680100200300400500600369265

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
177.20.4
170.4170.8
Auto25.9
Teleop128.4
End25.4
red by 43.4
6113
#22
133.80.4
133.3133.7
Auto17.8
Teleop100.2
End17.5
Second
5213
#11
122.40.6
114.8115.4
Auto14.9
Teleop90.3
End18.7
blue by 1.3
5486
#28
123.71.8
122.6124.4
Auto20.0
Teleop90.7
End9.9
Third
6581
#23
120.40.8
117.9118.7
Auto16.7
Teleop87.2
End17.4
red by 18.9
5709
#37
101.50.6
102.9102.3
Auto14.9
Teleop74.6
End13.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
58%Auto Quest oddsEarned35%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed