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Red252
5714125.6
5562101.6
4715115.0
Blue401
6558129.9
1596160.0
4377144.8
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2263850100300500600700252401

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5714
#34
125.60.7
119.9120.6
Auto14.3
Teleop90.8
End20.0
blue by 34.3
160.01.5
147.1148.6
Auto19.7
Teleop121.9
End18.7
Second
4715
#39
115.00.7
112.6113.4
Auto15.4
Teleop88.2
End10.8
blue by 29.9
4377
#10
144.81.5
139.6141.1
Auto16.7
Teleop101.7
End25.9
Third
5562
#30
101.60.2
102.9102.7
Auto13.5
Teleop77.8
End7.8
blue by 28.4
6558
#21
129.91.4
126.9128.3
Auto18.6
Teleop90.2
End20.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
12%Auto Quest oddsMissed46%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed