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Red203
5706101.3
5072143.5
482787.6
Blue349
525197.8
5084152.5
857139.6
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2023470100300400500600700203349

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5072
#27
143.51.3
142.0143.3
Auto16.0
Teleop107.4
End16.1
blue by 9.0
152.52.7
139.5142.2
Auto19.5
Teleop112.5
End21.0
Second
5706
#26
101.30.7
96.997.6
Auto14.3
Teleop78.6
End13.0
blue by 38.3
857
#14
139.60.3
136.7137.0
Auto15.7
Teleop99.1
End22.9
Third
4827
#17
87.60.2
85.685.4
Auto15.0
Teleop73.9
End3.8
blue by 10.3
5251
#31
97.81.3
90.491.6
Auto13.1
Teleop75.5
End18.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
20%Auto Quest oddsMissed43%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed9%Face the Boss oddsMissed