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Red202
5702133.2
5878106.4
482787.6
Blue425
5709101.5
6033127.9
4392170.9
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2083370100300400500600202425

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5702
#13
133.21.7
125.0126.8
Auto19.2
Teleop99.0
End19.2
blue by 37.6
170.90.0
166.0166.0
Auto15.8
Teleop134.7
End21.4
Second
5878
#35
106.40.0
101.5101.5
Auto18.0
Teleop74.1
End17.7
blue by 21.5
6033
#16
127.90.5
125.8125.3
Auto15.0
Teleop101.4
End12.6
Third
4827
#17
87.60.1
85.485.5
Auto15.0
Teleop73.9
End3.8
blue by 13.9
5709
#37
101.50.6
102.3101.6
Auto14.9
Teleop74.6
End13.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
63%Auto Quest oddsMissed18%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed