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Red123
6581120.4
857139.6
5562101.6
Blue409
3602142.1
2586146.5
5989104.3
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions271318100200400500600123409

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
857
#14
139.60.8
137.0137.8
Auto15.7
Teleop99.1
End22.9
blue by 6.9
2586
#15
146.50.1
144.4144.5
Auto16.3
Teleop109.0
End18.0
Second
6581
#23
120.41.4
118.7120.1
Auto16.7
Teleop87.2
End17.4
blue by 21.7
142.12.5
129.9132.4
Auto19.2
Teleop106.6
End19.0
Third
5562
#30
101.60.2
102.7102.9
Auto13.5
Teleop77.8
End7.8
blue by 2.7
5989
#33
104.31.7
105.9104.2
Auto15.7
Teleop79.1
End12.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
15%Auto Quest oddsMissed37%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
11%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed