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Red139
482787.6
5709101.5
5247122.1
Blue364
6345101.3
4391186.7
32289.6
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2293250100200400500139364

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5247
#24
122.10.9
124.4123.5
Auto14.0
Teleop95.1
End12.6
blue by 64.6
186.70.5
184.9184.3
Auto29.2
Teleop137.9
End19.7
Second
5709
#37
101.50.0
101.6101.6
Auto14.9
Teleop74.6
End13.3
red by 0.2
6345
#40
101.30.6
101.8101.2
Auto15.5
Teleop71.4
End15.6
Third
4827
#17
87.60.5
85.585.9
Auto15.0
Teleop73.9
End3.8
blue by 2.0
322
#36
89.60.7
90.890.1
Auto12.1
Teleop66.8
End9.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
10%Auto Quest oddsMissed32%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed