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Red198
2586146.5
4970177.2
6113133.8
Blue362
5989104.3
5314151.6
141172.9
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3453060100200400500600700198362

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
177.21.9
174.9176.8
Auto25.9
Teleop128.4
End25.4
red by 4.3
141
#1
172.91.6
168.3169.9
Auto25.0
Teleop132.0
End17.9
Second
2586
#15
146.50.2
146.2146.5
Auto16.3
Teleop109.0
End18.0
blue by 5.0
151.60.9
148.9149.7
Auto21.0
Teleop118.0
End12.5
Third
6113
#22
133.80.9
132.8133.8
Auto17.8
Teleop100.2
End17.5
red by 29.5
5989
#33
104.31.0
103.3104.3
Auto15.7
Teleop79.1
End12.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
95%Auto Quest oddsMissed90%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed