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Red191
3602142.1
4375151.5
5213122.4
Blue440
5702133.2
6113133.8
1596160.0
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions345308200250400450500191440

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4375
#12
151.51.4
150.1151.4
Auto16.0
Teleop110.3
End25.2
blue by 8.5
160.01.2
153.7154.9
Auto19.7
Teleop121.9
End18.7
Second
142.13.2
137.8141.0
Auto19.2
Teleop106.6
End19.0
red by 8.3
6113
#22
133.80.1
133.0132.8
Auto17.8
Teleop100.2
End17.5
Third
5213
#11
122.42.1
119.7121.8
Auto14.9
Teleop90.3
End18.7
blue by 10.9
5702
#13
133.21.6
130.2131.8
Auto19.2
Teleop99.0
End19.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
59%Auto Quest oddsMissed77%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed