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Red353
6581120.4
4392170.9
482787.6
Blue208
5314151.6
6345101.3
4835131.0
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions304319150200250350400450500550353208

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
170.90.6
167.3167.9
Auto15.8
Teleop134.7
End21.4
red by 19.3
151.61.8
147.1148.9
Auto21.0
Teleop118.0
End12.5
Second
6581
#23
120.40.5
120.9120.4
Auto16.7
Teleop87.2
End17.4
blue by 10.6
4835
#19
131.00.8
130.2131.0
Auto18.0
Teleop91.2
End20.4
Third
4827
#17
87.61.3
86.387.6
Auto15.0
Teleop73.9
End3.8
blue by 13.7
6345
#40
101.30.4
100.9101.3
Auto15.5
Teleop71.4
End15.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
25%Auto Quest oddsMissed69%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed