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Red171
5702133.2
5486123.7
4835131.0
Blue328
141172.9
5175129.8
5084152.5
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2303620100200300400500171328

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5702
#13
133.20.5
121.7121.2
Auto19.2
Teleop99.0
End19.2
blue by 39.7
141
#1
172.91.0
155.3156.3
Auto25.0
Teleop132.0
End17.9
Second
4835
#19
131.00.0
124.2124.3
Auto18.0
Teleop91.2
End20.4
blue by 21.4
152.50.8
130.9131.7
Auto19.5
Teleop112.5
End21.0
Third
5486
#28
123.70.4
115.9116.3
Auto20.0
Teleop90.7
End9.9
blue by 6.1
5175
#20
129.80.6
124.8125.4
Auto19.2
Teleop89.5
End20.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
26%Auto Quest oddsEarned70%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed