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Red216
4715115.0
5072143.5
525197.8
Blue306
3602142.1
5314151.6
5709101.5
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions239297100200400500216306

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5072
#27
143.50.3
138.3138.6
Auto16.0
Teleop107.4
End16.1
blue by 8.1
151.62.4
129.3131.7
Auto21.0
Teleop118.0
End12.5
Second
4715
#39
115.00.2
113.8113.6
Auto15.4
Teleop88.2
End10.8
blue by 27.1
142.10.3
120.7120.3
Auto19.2
Teleop106.6
End19.0
Third
5251
#31
97.81.0
88.887.8
Auto13.1
Teleop75.5
End18.4
blue by 3.7
5709
#37
101.51.6
109.0107.5
Auto14.9
Teleop74.6
End13.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
14%Auto Quest oddsMissed20%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed