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Red500
1684163.0
217223.1
7218107.4
Blue74
6344134.7
247151.3
2604110.7
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions43924910020030040050060070080050074

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
217
#1
223.10.5
220.2220.7
Auto22.7
Teleop165.2
End35.1
red by 71.8
247
#11
151.30.3
151.0151.3
Auto19.6
Teleop110.2
End20.8
Second
163.00.3
161.1161.4
Auto23.7
Teleop122.2
End17.0
red by 28.3
6344
#18
134.70.0
134.7134.7
Auto18.6
Teleop101.7
End14.4
Third
7218
#25
107.40.1
106.8106.8
Auto17.1
Teleop77.8
End14.8
blue by 3.3
2604
#20
110.70.1
110.8110.7
Auto17.7
Teleop81.4
End10.4