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Red446
1684163.0
217223.1
7218107.4
Blue268
3667151.9
4779162.2
6071116.4
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3803150100200500600700800446268

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
217
#1
223.10.5
220.7221.3
Auto22.7
Teleop165.2
End35.1
red by 60.9
162.20.7
160.9161.6
Auto21.8
Teleop115.8
End27.5
Second
163.00.3
161.4161.8
Auto23.7
Teleop122.2
End17.0
red by 11.1
151.90.5
151.0151.5
Auto20.0
Teleop117.5
End16.3
Third
7218
#25
107.40.1
106.8106.9
Auto17.1
Teleop77.8
End14.8
blue by 9.0
6071
#17
116.40.5
115.6116.0
Auto14.4
Teleop86.8
End17.0