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Red461
1718160.2
3668165.7
5167132.5
Blue288
7166135.2
5533139.2
5235129.1
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4012740100200500600700461288

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
165.70.6
162.2162.8
Auto21.7
Teleop116.3
End29.3
red by 26.5
5533
#10
139.20.1
139.2139.2
Auto17.4
Teleop100.6
End21.5
Second
1718
#12
160.20.7
156.3157.0
Auto20.1
Teleop126.5
End15.9
red by 25.0
7166
#27
135.20.3
134.9135.2
Auto16.4
Teleop103.4
End15.7
Third
5167
#35
132.50.0
132.1132.1
Auto13.7
Teleop99.7
End21.1
red by 3.4
5235
#29
129.10.0
129.0129.1
Auto16.6
Teleop98.5
End16.5