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Red402
5114176.5
3534153.5
3619115.9
Blue249
6019133.7
5155179.4
6120137.0
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions331376200300400500600402249

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
176.50.3
174.7175.0
Auto22.6
Teleop125.6
End29.3
blue by 2.9
179.40.3
178.9179.2
Auto20.6
Teleop130.1
End28.0
Second
153.50.7
150.2150.9
Auto21.3
Teleop117.8
End18.3
red by 16.5
6120
#36
137.00.5
136.2136.7
Auto15.4
Teleop106.5
End16.6
Third
3619
#21
115.90.3
114.4114.7
Auto21.5
Teleop81.2
End13.5
blue by 17.8
6019
#19
133.70.7
132.5133.2
Auto16.2
Teleop102.3
End19.4