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Red413
5114176.5
3534153.5
3619115.9
Blue288
6019133.7
5155179.4
6120137.0
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions340366200300400500600413288

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
176.50.4
175.0175.4
Auto22.6
Teleop125.6
End29.3
blue by 2.9
179.40.1
179.2179.4
Auto20.6
Teleop130.1
End28.0
Second
153.50.7
150.9151.6
Auto21.3
Teleop117.8
End18.3
red by 16.5
6120
#36
137.00.3
136.7137.0
Auto15.4
Teleop106.5
End16.6
Third
3619
#21
115.90.3
114.7115.0
Auto21.5
Teleop81.2
End13.5
blue by 17.8
6019
#19
133.70.5
133.2133.7
Auto16.2
Teleop102.3
End19.4