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Red235
4130167.0
7168104.7
3619115.9
Blue269
5662104.8
1684163.0
7206129.5
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2833030100200400500600235269

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
167.01.5
160.2161.6
Auto18.6
Teleop129.2
End20.9
red by 4.0
163.00.3
148.9148.6
Auto23.7
Teleop122.2
End17.0
Second
3619
#21
115.90.4
120.2119.8
Auto21.5
Teleop81.2
End13.5
blue by 13.6
7206
#15
129.51.5
125.1126.6
Auto16.6
Teleop103.5
End11.1
Third
7168
#39
104.70.5
102.3102.7
Auto15.1
Teleop79.0
End13.1
blue by 0.1
5662
#31
104.81.9
109.6107.7
Auto16.7
Teleop81.2
End7.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
39%Auto Quest oddsEarned27%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed